Sports betting is often very profitable if you know the techniques the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a best illustration. We analyzed this Western side Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless I also came to the realization that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This video game has all the signals of being one associated with the ideal games associated with the year, with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western Virginia coming back from being down huge in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.
So what’s the adventure seem like this year?
In the event that this sport were as played at some sort of basic field, West California might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.
These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between a new push plus a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since December eighteen, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points for each game at home. In W88 didn’t do the figures, that means given that their particular last home decline they also have averaged beating their oppositions by about thirty four details per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by simply 13 items per video game at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?
The majority of those stats were being established during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They already have possessed recent games where they have already only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that will this is still a new close activity to phone. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this particular game and not necessarily gamble at all. There happen to be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big they may still win right after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular activity, people critical with regards to wagering saved money that they can put to better apply on upcoming games.